Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 2.430945 2.814730 3.248178 3.775703 4.402696 5.126913 6.030849
2025-02-16 1.861965 2.362206 2.989249 3.840637 4.978257 6.462540 8.573019
2025-02-23 1.569666 2.114363 2.845990 3.915910 5.466485 7.672455 11.122229
2025-03-02 1.338717 1.888953 2.669004 3.878953 5.751233 8.611163 13.455380
2025-03-09 1.193085 1.752194 2.582835 3.939775 6.165910 9.792538 16.405027
2025-03-16 1.056682 1.605263 2.453387 3.902053 6.402813 10.715197 19.115733
2025-03-23 0.950328 1.488094 2.349849 3.882706 6.655617 11.697201 22.151882
2025-03-30 0.851939 1.369973 2.226782 3.806850 6.788026 12.475488 24.969668
2025-04-06 0.791849 1.307170 2.186614 3.867970 7.177806 13.809836 29.274136
2025-04-13 0.717174 1.210325 2.074526 3.778316 7.257003 14.530926 32.406092
2025-04-20 0.684354 1.182997 2.082463 3.916772 7.816762 16.370752 38.683062
2025-04-27 0.635733 1.121520 2.019612 3.904955 8.056199 17.548907 43.650139
2025-05-04 0.596866 1.080994 2.005048 4.019844 8.665901 19.898080 53.067874
2025-05-11 0.553475 1.028368 1.963528 4.080226 9.191255 22.261149 63.792118
2025-05-18 0.517687 0.985498 1.934532 4.161285 9.784006 24.978736 76.934254
2025-05-25 0.475678 0.924640 1.859165 4.121671 10.063901 26.930809 88.557572
2025-06-01 0.447075 0.887891 1.830130 4.186839 10.637201 29.925889 105.621483
2025-06-08 0.413770 0.837148 1.763212 4.146421 10.911187 32.102771 120.830738
2025-06-15 0.385466 0.793997 1.707777 4.125693 11.239266 34.577483 138.892831
2025-06-22 0.356269 0.745647 1.634109 4.044430 11.369020 36.434911 155.464051
2025-06-29 0.338749 0.721775 1.615572 4.109905 11.975305 40.234008 184.283060
2025-07-06 0.313818 0.678165 1.543615 4.013866 12.037958 42.026428 204.073178
2025-07-13 0.303913 0.668805 1.555663 4.162192 12.964320 47.621416 250.155384